Russia and NATO will not engage in a direct conflict against the background of the Russian military action in Ukraine, and an expert at the Russian Council for International Affairs, Kirill Semenov, ruled out the “occupation” of Ukraine by Russia, but a researcher at the American Foreign Policy Research Institute, Maximilian Hess, warned of the gravity of the situation, he said the mistakes had "serious consequence".
The current studies and reports indicate that Russia is seeking, through its military action in Russia, first: to hurt the West and NATO by sending a strong-worded message through Ukraine, in accordance with the Arab proverb (Talk to you, neighbor, listen, daughter-in-law). Second: Russia (Putin) seeks to form a new world order, its content: that Moscow have a role in world politics as it was in the days of the Soviet Union, especially since he once said that “the collapse of the Soviet Union is the greatest geopolitical catastrophe of the twentieth century.”
Tensions between Russia on the one hand, and Ukraine and the West on the other are still high, as the risks are increasing little by little, as a result of the demands of the two parties (the Russian and the Ukrainian) that are far from a solution. The data also indicate that the game of "breaking the bone" is still going on, and all of this is perhaps not a coincidence that on the 14th of this March, NATO countries are conducting large-scale exercises in Norway, to test its ability to defend a member country of the alliance exposed to external aggression.
About 30,000 soldiers, 200 aircraft, and about fifty battleships from 27 countries will participate in the "Cold Response 2022" maneuvers, and will help Western armies to be more solid in fighting in the harsh cold land, sea and air, including in the Arctic region.
"The training is very important for the security of Norway and the allies," Norwegian Defense Minister Odd Roger Enoxen told AFP.
He pointed out that "it is not organized because of the Russian military operation on Ukraine, but it acquires additional importance because of it."
How far will Putin go since he began his military action in Ukraine, and will he back off? It is clear, according to a report by the Israeli newspaper The Jerusalem Post, that “one thing is certain: Putin is determined,” and the mounting complications since the Russian military action will not deter him. On the contrary, he cannot back down, the more difficult the war and the greater the number of casualties, the greater the pressure on him to show real achievements.
On Putin’s goal in his military move in Ukraine, Maximilian Hess, a researcher at the American Foreign Policy Research Institute, spoke to our agency, saying: “Putin has made it clear that he seeks to destroy the Ukrainian state, and his arguments about NATO are part of domestic propaganda. His demands in negotiations have not changed even with "The Russian military has suffered heavy losses and appears ready to continue carrying out horrific attacks on civilian centers, so I don't think it is yet ready to consider any other options. But sanctions will destroy Russia's economy, and this creates real political risks."
In recent weeks, there has been a sharp escalation of tension in relations between Russia on the one hand and the United States and NATO on the other, resulting from their categorical refusal to respond to Moscow's proposals to provide it with official and therefore binding security guarantees.
Moscow demands sure guarantees to prevent further NATO expansion to the east, as well as not to deploy weapons near its borders, which Moscow considers a major threat to its national security, which will shorten the time for American missiles to reach Moscow to a few minutes, as well as restore the existing military capabilities and infrastructure of NATO. In Europe to the situation it was in 1997, when the Constitutive Act on Joint Relations, Cooperation and Security between Russia and NATO was signed, on the one hand, but the things that Moscow talks about about the existence of “neo-Nazis” and ultra-nationalists are nothing but a process of playing on emotions Therefore, it is clear that the most dangerous thing that Moscow fears is Kyiv’s accession to NATO, which constitutes an existential threat to Russia (according to Moscow), and pushes it into a military confrontation with the Western military alliance.
An expert at the Russian Council for International Affairs, Kirill Semenov, spoke to our agency about Moscow's goals for its military action, and his speech was in accordance with the official Russian version, as he said that Moscow's goals revolve around Kyiv's non-joining of NATO, the recognition of the independence of the People's Republics of Lugansk and Donetsk and the Crimea.
Semenov also acknowledged the difficulty of defining military objectives and missions precisely, as he ruled out the “occupation” of Ukraine as a whole, and suggested that there would be no conflict between Russia and NATO; Because the armed forces of NATO countries are not involved in the conflict.
But Maximilian Hess, a researcher at the US Foreign Policy Research Institute, warned that "we are certainly in a very dangerous environment where mistakes can have serious consequences."